Entering 2021 there was consensus expectation for volume recovery post COVIDand only first hints of a semi shortage. However, 2021 was ultimately shaped by thelatter and the automaker's realization of the power of pricing. As a result, volumeswere challenged (car production - flat y/y) but profit margins rich for OEMs whilesuppliers issued multiple profit warnings. Stock prices reflected this with EuropeanOEMs outperforming AutoParts suppliers by about 38ppt. This was also observedin the US where OEMs outpaced suppliers by about 44ppt. Thinking about 2022, wesee supply conditions improving but still capping growth. Coupled with optionalityfrom auto 2.0, much better customer adoption rates (electric, connected, digital),we believe market concerns about the risk from worsening pricing on OEMs maybe overblown. In fact, we see conditions for automakers remaining positive formuch longer: Demand is strong, Inventories remain tight, EVs being rolled out andboosting ASPs, recurring revenue streams develop, distribution models arechanging all of which we see having a smoothing impact on the economic cycle. Wetherefore do not just see earnings growth (~35% for EU automakers) and strongcash flows (a combined EUR >30bn for EU OEMs) but also opportunity for multipleexpansion. In the US, there are multiple potential EV and AV catalysts on the horizonwhich could help automakers unlock value.
相关报告
《汽车企业数字化转型:认知与实现》读书笔记
7081
类型:读书笔记
上传时间:2022-01
标签:数字化转型、汽车、大数据)
语言:中文
金额:9.9元
国际投行报告-全球芯片行业:芯片的冲突-台积电、三星和英特尔(英)
4292
类型:行研
上传时间:2022-06
标签:投行报告、芯片、冲突)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
HSBC-中国房地产和物业管理行业2022年展望-2021.11.9-75页
3687
类型:行研
上传时间:2021-11
标签:投行报告、房地产、物业)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
汇丰-中国汽车芯片
3462
类型:行研
上传时间:2022-07
标签:汽车、芯片、投行报告)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
预见2025-中国行业趋势报告:2025六大热门话题、八大行业趋势:汽车、材料、消费、科技、健康
2818
类型:行研
上传时间:2025-02
标签:汽车、材料、消费)
语言:中文
金额:5积分
HSBC-全球投资策略之未来城市:城市化形态的变化-2021.4-54页
2551
类型:策略
上传时间:2021-05
标签:投行报告、未来城市、城市化)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
瑞信-2021年全球财富报告(英)
2469
类型:专题
上传时间:2021-06
标签:全球财富、投行报告)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
2024中国汽车消费者洞察报告
2324
类型:行研
上传时间:2024-03
标签:汽车、消费者)
语言:中文
金额:5积分
2024中企全球化销售人才报告:汽车行业出海与全球化
2181
类型:行研
上传时间:2024-05
标签:销售人才、出海、汽车)
语言:中文
金额:5积分
汽车行业智能驾驶-Robotaxi:产业化大幕开启,无人驾驶未来已来-240716-47页
2099
类型:行研
上传时间:2024-07
标签:汽车、智能驾驶)
语言:中文
金额:5积分
积分充值
30积分
6.00元
90积分
18.00元
150+8积分
30.00元
340+20积分
68.00元
640+50积分
128.00元
990+70积分
198.00元
1640+140积分
328.00元
微信支付
余额支付
积分充值
应付金额:
0 元
请登录,再发表你的看法
登录/注册