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美联储金融账户报告-美国住房作为全球安全资产:来自中国冲击的证据(英)-2021.11

# 美国住房 # 全球安全资产 # 来自中国的冲击 大小:2.04M | 页数:55 | 上架时间:2021-11-16 | 语言:英文

美联储金融账户报告-美国住房作为全球安全资产:来自中国冲击的证据(英)-2021.11.pdf

美联储金融账户报告-美国住房作为全球安全资产:来自中国冲击的证据(英)-2021.11.pdf

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类型: 专题

上传者: ZF报告分享

撰写机构: 美联储金融账户报告

出版日期: 2021-11-11

摘要:

This paper demonstrates that the measured stock of China's holding of U.S. assets could be much higher than indicated by the U.S. net international investment position data due to unrecorded historical Chinese in ows into an increasingly popular global safe haven asset: U.S. residential real estate. We rst use aggregate capital  ows data to show that the increase in unrecorded capital in ows in the U.S. balance of payment accounts over the past decade is mainly linked to in ows from China into U.S. housing markets. Then, using a unique web trac dataset that provides a direct measure of Chinese demand for U.S. housing at the zip code level, we estimate via a di erencein-di erence matching framework that house prices in major U.S. cities that are highly exposed to demand from China have on average grown 7 percentage points faster than similar neighborhoods with low exposure over the period 2010-2016. These average excess price growth gaps co-move closely with macro-level measures of U.S. capital in ows from China, and tend to widen following periods of economic stress in China, suggesting that Chinese households view U.S. housing as a safe haven asset.

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