This text has been named as an approved reference in preparing for the SOA Exam C and the CAS Exam 4. Several chapters have been adopted as syllabus references for the SOA Group and Health specialty Design and Pricing Fellowship exam. Credibility modeling is a proven approach for analyzing unique product designs. This text presents a wide variety of credibility models in an easy-to-read style, and in so doing, traces the historical development of the subject. The Bayesian approach to credibility is emphasized. The text concentrates on basic statistical concepts, leaving more sophisticated theoretical concepts for a more advanced treatment elsewhere. It contains worked examples, a large number of end-of-chapter exercises and an extensive bibliography. Practical applications of credibility theory are presented in the Appendices. In the rapidly evolving healthcare environment, data credibility is more important than ever. The Fourth Edition of this text includes three new case studies relating to healthcare issues. A separate solutions manual for the text exercises is also available. Please see the Related Items Tab for a direct link

本文已被命名为准备SOA考试C和CAS考试4的核准参考文献。SOA小组和健康专业设计与定价奖学金考试的教学大纲参考文献已采用了多个章节。可信度建模是分析独特产品设计的有效方法。本文以通俗易懂的方式呈现了各种各样的可信度模型，并以此来追溯该学科的历史发展。强调了可信度的贝叶斯方法。文本集中在基本的统计概念，留下更复杂的理论概念，以更先进的处理其他地方。它包含工作的例子，大量的章末练习和广泛的参考书目。可信度理论的实际应用见附录。在快速发展的医疗环境中，数据可信度比以往任何时候都更为重要。本文的第四版包括三个与医疗保健问题有关的新案例研究。文本练习的单独解决方案手册也可用。有关直接链接，请参见“相关项目”选项卡