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美联储-安全资产创造、系统风险和总需求理论(英)-2023.9

# 安全资产创造理论 # 系统风险 # 总需求 大小:1.06M | 页数:84 | 上架时间:2023-09-27 | 语言:英文

美联储-安全资产创造、系统风险和总需求理论(英)-2023.9.pdf

美联储-安全资产创造、系统风险和总需求理论(英)-2023.9.pdf

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类型: 专题

上传者: FYJ

撰写机构: 美联储

出版日期: 2023-09-27

摘要:

This paper presents a theory of safe asset creation and the interactions between systemic risk and aggregate demand. The creation of private safe assets by financial intermediaries re￾quires them to take leverage, which generates a risk of future crisis (systemic risk) in which intermediaries liquidate assets to service their debt. In contrast, the creation of public safe assets by the government does not generate systemic risk as the government’s power to tax allows it to better absorb losses. The level of systemic risk determines the neutral rate of in￾terest through households’ precautionary saving and aggregate demand. The model features a two-way interaction between systemic risk and aggregate demand. Monetary and fiscal policy can stabilize aggregate demand and reduce systemic risk by altering the mix of private and public safe assets held by savers. When monetary policy is constrained, the economy can enter a risk-driven stagnation trap in which economic stagnation arises due to excessive systemic risk. Macroprudential policies which reduce systemic risk can stimulate aggregate demand.

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