微信扫一扫联系客服

微信扫描二维码

进入报告厅H5

关注报告厅公众号

83

IMF-重新审视欧元区债务Mutualization的案例:一个定量的探索(英)-2023.3

# 欧元区债务 大小:0.81M | 页数:27 | 上架时间:2023-04-04 | 语言:英文

IMF-重新审视欧元区债务Mutualization的案例:一个定量的探索(英)-2023.3.pdf

IMF-重新审视欧元区债务Mutualization的案例:一个定量的探索(英)-2023.3.pdf

试看10页

类型: 专题

上传者: XR0209

撰写机构: IMF

出版日期: 2023-04-03

摘要:

This paper explores the feasibility of an idea proposed first by the German Council of Economic Experts in 2011 and revisited by Italian and French authorities in 2021: the one-off mutualization of some European legacy debt through the creation of a European Debt Management Agency (EDMA). The paper does not argue in favor or against these proposals or make a proposal of its own. Rather it outlines a conceptual framework that can be used to quantify the contours of mutualization proposals and draws lessons from the debt assumption in the United States in 1790. The framework suggests that by capitalizing the convenience yield on European-wide safe assets, the EDMA could issue up to 15 percent of euro area GDP, helping to put national debts on a sounder trajectory. The analysis suggests that, without mutualization, some euro area countries are likely to experience decreasing debt-to-GDP ratios over the forecast period. This is not the case for Belgium, Finland, France, Italy, and Spain, where further fiscal consolidation would be needed. For these countries, we consider the effects of a debt mutualization equivalent to 26 percent of their GDP. For Italy, this operation alone is enough to ensure a decreasing debt-to-GDP path. For the others, the news is more mixed: while the additional fiscal consolidation is smaller, 1.3 to 2.3 percent of GDP are still required to reduce debt with 95 percent probability.

展开>> 收起<<

请登录,再发表你的看法

登录/注册

XR0209

相关报告

更多

浏览量

(83)

下载

(0)

收藏

分享

购买

5积分

0积分

原价5积分

VIP

*

投诉主题:

  • 下载 下架函

*

描述:

*

图片:

上传图片

上传图片

最多上传2张图片

提示

取消 确定

提示

取消 确定

提示

取消 确定

积分充值

选择充值金额:

30积分

6.00元

90积分

18.00元

150+8积分

30.00元

340+20积分

68.00元

640+50积分

128.00元

990+70积分

198.00元

1640+140积分

328.00元

微信支付

余额支付

积分充值

填写信息

姓名*

邮箱*

姓名*

邮箱*

注:填写完信息后,该报告便可下载

选择下载内容

全选

取消全选

已选 1