微信扫一扫联系客服

微信扫描二维码

进入报告厅H5

关注报告厅公众号

113

美联储-不完全信息下的平衡收益曲线(英)-2022.12

# 平衡收益 # 收益曲线 大小:1.20M | 页数:50 | 上架时间:2022-12-28 | 语言:英文

美联储-不完全信息下的平衡收益曲线(英)-2022.12.pdf

美联储-不完全信息下的平衡收益曲线(英)-2022.12.pdf

试看10页

类型: 专题

上传者: wpxc666666

撰写机构: 美联储

出版日期: 2022-12-28

摘要:

I study the dynamics of default-free bond yields and term premia using a novel equilibrium term structure model with a New-Keynesian core and imperfect information about productivity. The model generates term premia that are on average positive with sizable countercyclical variation that arises endogenously. Importantly, demand shocks, in addition to supply shocks, play a key role in the dynamics of term premia. This is in sharp contrast to existing DSGE term structure models with perfect information, which tend to rely on large supply shocks to generate timevariation in yields and term premia. With imperfect information, a shock to productivity is a supply shock, while a shock to signals about productivity that do not lead to actual changes in productivity acts as a demand shock. Nevertheless, an increase in economic activity generates more information about productivity, regardless of which type of shock it arises from. Moreover, a decrease in economic uncertainty leads to a decline in term premia as longer-term bonds are risky on average. This feature helps reconcile the empirical evidence that term premia have been on average positive and countercyclical, with numerous studies pointing to demand shocks as being an important driver of business cycles over the last few decades.

展开>> 收起<<

请登录,再发表你的看法

登录/注册

wpxc666666

相关报告

更多

浏览量

(71)

下载

(2)

收藏

分享

购买

5积分

0积分

原价5积分

VIP

*

投诉主题:

  • 下载 下架函

*

描述:

*

图片:

上传图片

上传图片

最多上传2张图片

提示

取消 确定

提示

取消 确定

提示

取消 确定

积分充值

选择充值金额:

30积分

6.00元

90积分

18.00元

150+8积分

30.00元

340+20积分

68.00元

640+50积分

128.00元

990+70积分

198.00元

1640+140积分

328.00元

微信支付

余额支付

积分充值

填写信息

姓名*

邮箱*

姓名*

邮箱*

注:填写完信息后,该报告便可下载

选择下载内容

全选

取消全选

已选 1