Embedded generation gives Nigerian electricity distribution companies (DisCos) the opportunity to improve their supply of electricity to customers independent of the problematic national grid while maintaining control of their franchise areas. The renewable embedded generation (REG) business model described in this report enables DisCos and developers to collaborate to deliver improved electricity services to customers through embedded generation.
Despite its potential, the growth of embedded generation in Nigeria has been limited, mostly due to concerns about DisCos’ ability to pay for electricity purchased. As a result, existing embedded generation business models in Nigeria either involve energy project developers supplying DisCos with excess electricity from generation assets built for another purpose (e.g., on-grid generation plants with excess capacity, captive generation plants, or minigrids) or a developer supplying a distribution network not operated by a DisCo (e.g., through an independent electricity distribution network or a sub-franchising agreement).
Although these business models allow developers to reduce the risk of DisCo nonpayment, they have limited scalability. Through their franchises, DisCos have the exclusive right to supply electricity to most areas of the country and therefore alternative electricity suppliers can only supply areas where the DisCo does not currently operate or where the DisCo grants them permission to supply customers.
The REG business model improves supply for customers by combining solar photovoltaic (PV), battery storage, and thermal generation. Through the inclusion of solar PV, the REG plant increases supply for all customers in the REG customer cluster while the inclusion of battery storage and thermal generation enables the provision of 24/7 reliable power to a subset of customers called premium customers. The model addresses the concerns of DisCo nonpayment by directing REG customer payments into an independent collections account (ICA). The ICA uses customer meter numbers to identify customers on REG feeders and directs their payments into a separate account that is not directly managed by the DisCo.
Providing additional generation to DisCos increases their electricity sales and therefore their revenue. In addition, the REG business model provides DisCos with capital to improve their distribution network and meter their customers, reducing their losses and improving their profitability. Furthermore, by charging customers cost-reflective tariffs, the REG business model boosts DisCos’ profitability. Finally, the REG model also helps DisCos prevent premium customers from defecting from the grid while bringing back those who may have already defected.
The REG business model also reduces electricity costs for customers compared with their current mix of grid supply and self-generated electricity. Premium customer costs can be reduced by up to 50%, while nonpremium customer costs are reduced by 20%–30%. For developers, the REG business model provides access to a larger customer pool, a de-risked structure for collaborating with DisCos, and access to funding from climate-focused financiers.
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