An analysis of historical cost trends of energy technologies shows that the decadeslong increase in the deployment of renewable energy technologies has consistently coincided with steep declines in their costs. For example, the cost of solar photovoltaics has declined by three orders of magnitude over the last 50 years. Similar trends are to be found with wind, energy storage, and electrolysers (hydrogen-based energy). Such declines are set to continue and will take several of these renewable technologies well below the cost base for current fossil fuel power generation. Most major climate mitigation models produced for the IPCC and the International Energy Agency have continually underestimated such trends despite these trends being quite consistent and predictable. By incorporating such trends into a simple, transparent energy system model we produce new climate mitigation scenarios that provide a contrasting perspective to those of the standard models. These new scenarios provide an opportunity to reassess the common narrative that a Paris-compliant emissions pathway will be expensive, will require reduced energy reliability or economic growth, and will need to rely on technologies that are currently expensive or unproven as scale. This research provides encouraging evidence for governments that are looking for greater ambition on decarbonising their economies while providing economic growth opportunities and affordable energy.
相关报告
能源绿色低碳转型典型案例汇编(2024)
2211
类型:行研
上传时间:2024-05
标签:能源、绿色低碳)
语言:中文
金额:5积分
美国能源部-工业脱碳路线图(英)
2112
类型:专题
上传时间:2022-09
标签:工业、脱碳、路线图)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
国际能源署-中国能源领域的碳中和路线图(英)-2021
2078
类型:专题
上传时间:2021-10
标签:中国、能源、碳中性)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
中国分布式能源发展:回顾及展望 2020-2025
1495
类型:行研
上传时间:2021-01
标签:分布式、能源)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
2022年全球能源行业洞察
1456
类型:行研
上传时间:2022-05
标签:、能源)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
创新前景:可再生甲醇-国际可再生能源机构
1433
类型:行研
上传时间:2021-11
标签:甲醇、能源、环保)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
CB-Insights-埃隆·马斯克正在颠覆的8个行:从能源到交通运输到医疗保健
1385
类型:专题
上传时间:2021-10
标签:医疗保健、能源、交通运输)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
瑞信-中国能源行业-中国氢能源:如何更好地发挥中国氢主题-2021.3.15-118页
1384
类型:行研
上传时间:2021-03
标签:能源、氢能源、投行报告)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
世界能源统计年鉴2022-60页
1261
类型:数据榜单
上传时间:2022-07
标签:能源、统计年鉴、2022)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
中国能源展望-了解中国的能源和排放趋势
1238
类型:行研
上传时间:2021-05
标签:能源、排放)
语言:英文
金额:5积分
积分充值
30积分
6.00元
90积分
18.00元
150+8积分
30.00元
340+20积分
68.00元
640+50积分
128.00元
990+70积分
198.00元
1640+140积分
328.00元
微信支付
余额支付
积分充值
应付金额:
0 元
请登录,再发表你的看法
登录/注册