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国际危机组织-波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那炎热的夏天(英)-2022.9

# 波斯尼亚 # 黑塞哥维那 大小:0.30M | 页数:20 | 上架时间:2022-09-29 | 语言:英文

国际危机组织-波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那炎热的夏天(英)-2022.9.pdf

国际危机组织-波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那炎热的夏天(英)-2022.9.pdf

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类型: 专题

上传者: 智释雯

撰写机构: 国际危机组织

出版日期: 2022-09-22

摘要:

What’s new? Ahead of Bosnia’s elections, two of its main communities, Bosniaks and Croats, are caught in a bitter dispute over procedures for the vote. Christian Schmidt, a German politician who serves as Bosnia’s international governor, or high representative, has threatened sweeping changes in election and other laws to resolve the crisis.

Why did it happen? Having long been wary of the high representative using his office’s powers to overrule Bosnian leaders, several Western countries, including the U.S., now support such an intervention. Amid the uncertainty created by Russia’s war in Ukraine, they fear that a disputed election could trigger a major crisis in Bosnia.

Why does it matter? The changes touch on long-disputed issues and affect the power balance between Bosniaks and Croats in one of Bosnia’s two entities, the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Antagonism between Bosniaks and Croats could erode the country’s ability to survive a separatist challenge by Serbs, the country’s other main community.

What should be done? Rather than pushing ahead immediately, Schmidt could see if by threatening action he can nudge Bosnian politicians to avert a bust-up around the vote. If not, he should impose the changes necessary to avoid a crisis. External actors should make a post-election effort push toward farther-reaching reform.

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